The chosen option feeds into a vision of the future and can be linked to a strategy map, master plan and observation points. Business model development thus remains a strategic leadership task and does not end with a sketch of ideas. The result is a well-founded decision together with open testing needs, not a revenue promise derived from a template.
Arbeitsergebnisse: Überprüfte Annahmen zum bestehenden Geschäft; Ausgearbeitete und bewertete Zukunftsoptionen; Entscheidungen über die weitere Umsetzung.
The depth of data, the economic assessment and any trials are set to suit the brief. Future options always carry some uncertainty.
Drafts of the future are not immediately declared the new strategy. First, the market and relevant environments are examined, then core competencies are described and options developed. For a business model, we translate this logic into testable assumptions: For which customer segment is value created, which offering generates it, which capabilities and partners are needed, and how does the offering become economically viable? Different customer segments can have different threshold benefits and differentiating features. An offering that is convincing for one group need not have the same value for another.
The options are therefore described separately and tested against resources, feasibility and risks. Where necessary, missing market information is gathered in a targeted way. Only then does leadership choose a vision of the future from which structures, processes and initiatives can be derived. This approach avoids mistaking an attractive sketch of ideas for a functioning business model. It also makes visible which assumptions still need to be tested and which decision management can take today.
A separate picture of value creation is drawn up for each option. What service is provided for whom, which internal processes support it and what effort does this involve? The drafts of the future are tested economically before a direction is chosen. Where data is missing, we name the uncertainty and propose a targeted survey or a limited trial.
A particularly attractive customer promise can fail because of missing capabilities or an unsuitable cost structure. Conversely, an existing capability can make a new customer relationship possible. The strategy team assesses these connections and decides which assumptions it wants to test first. Only then is an option translated into initiatives.
The economic assessment belongs before the decision on the vision of the future. It shows which option should be fleshed out further and which remains open for the time being because prerequisites are missing.
A draft of the future only becomes a viable option once it has been fleshed out and tested against the starting situation. This includes customer value, market opportunities, the company's own capabilities and the economic and organisational prerequisites. For each option, we record which assumptions are already supported by customer conversations or data and which are still open. The leadership team can thus compare variants without prematurely presenting an attractive idea as a finished business model.
The chosen direction is translated into a vision of the future and then into initiatives, responsibilities and observation points. If an assumption is not confirmed in the market, the option must be adjusted or discarded. The result is a well-founded strategic choice with visible testing needs, not an earnings forecast derived from a template. The order of the next tests is also part of the decision, so that resources are directed at the most important uncertainties.